US President Donald Trump has thrown the recently signed civilian nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia into uncertainty by stating that it is contingent on the kingdom recognizing Israel. This condition was not mentioned during the deal's announcement, leading to surprise and potential turmoil. The White House maintains that the Saudis were aware of this condition, which aligns with Trump's strong support for the Abraham Accords. The deal, which could generate billions for American companies, now faces an uncertain future as Riyadh has historically resisted normalizing ties with Israel. Critics warn that forcing normalization could lead to complications and even a regional nuclear race.
Deal Announcement and Immediate Fallout
The civilian nuclear deal was announced on Wednesday and appeared to be a significant achievement for Saudi Arabia, especially as tensions with Iran escalate. However, Trump's subsequent announcement on his Truth Social network that the deal's approval is tied to Saudi Arabia joining the Abraham Accords has cast doubt on its future. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed that the deal's condition was always recognition of Israel, despite it not being publicly stated.
Regional and Strategic Implications
Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu views Saudi recognition as a 'historic leap' for Middle East peace. However, analysts like H.A. Hellyer from the Royal United Services Institute doubt Saudi Arabia will suddenly change its stance. The deal also raises concerns about a potential nuclear race in the region, though US Energy Secretary Chris Wright assures it includes the highest standards of nuclear safety and nonproliferation.
Congressional and International Reactions
The deal will be submitted to Congress for review, where it faces opposition from both US lawmakers and Israeli officials who fear Saudi Arabia could use it to develop nuclear weapons. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio emphasized that any nuclear agreement will include safeguards to prevent weaponization. The deal comes amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, with Yemen's Houthi rebels attacking ships in the Red Sea, prompting Trump to vow retaliation against Iran and the Houthis.
